After four years of Donald Trump, the Democrats are now in the process of choosing their opposing force. Trump is a formidable opponent, as shown by his meteoric rise from reality star and billionaire to President in 2016. What impresses me is his ability to act like a type of deformed sun, bringing smart, powerful and respected individuals into his orbit and then spitting them back out, dejected and defeated with no respect (John Bolton, Jim Mattis or Michael Flynn).
He has built a cult-like mentality within the Republican Party, with congressmen, senators and a great portion of the public, not just supporting him, but defending everything he says and does. How did this man, a man who appears to be constituted by all the worst stereotypes of America (if you took cheeto dust, McDonald’s, the NRA, reality TV, a fear of the other and narcissism and put it all in the backseat of a limousine and drove around he’d probably pop out) become the President? Although I would disagree, many would say Hillary Clinton. His opponent surely mattered in 2016, and that opponent was Hillary Clinton.
Now, in 2020 we initially saw the Democratic Party splitting into three factions. Centrists, progressives and independents. Amongst the centrists we have had the likes of Joe Biden, Mike Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg. Moving on to the progressives, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren stand above the crowd. And finally the independents, both Andrew Yang and Tulsi Gabbard added an ingredient of pragmatism and innovation, attracting a young cohort of would be Republicans.
Where are we now? Left with two clear choices. Warren, Buttigieg and Bloomberg have now dropped out. Gabbard remains, yet she has no chance. The choice is simple, Biden or Sanders. One of these two men will compete with Donald trump for a chance to be the President of the United States of America. Biden decidedly has the lead currently, thanks to a sudden wave of support, ranging from endorsements given by Buttigieg to Klobuchar and Bloomberg. These endorsements helped him push into super Tuesday with power, claiming the highest number of delegates, despite polls in Sander’s favour.
Furthermore, moving forward, the states yet to primary or caucus are looking more and more pro-Biden by the minute. Being realistic, Sanders has a low chance of claiming the nomination, especially given the clear disdain for him and his politics within the DNC, and amongst the establishment media and corporates. It’s not impossible for him to get the nomination, but it is improbable.
So, being left with Biden, is he electable? Can he beat Trump? My feeling is yes. Trump’s politics have pushed independents and constitutional conservatives away from him, and Democrats will most likely vote blue no matter who. My fear however, is that what got Trump elected wasn’t Hillary Clinton, it was the failures of neoliberalism. And electing Biden may remove Trump, but it deepens the issues that created and sustain him. Sanders would be a different proposition.